LEDGER

SFF matching pledges (‡) — what actually wired

SFF matching pledges (‡) — what actually wired

In plain English: Survival & Flourishing Fund’s 2025 tables added Matching Pledges marked . That is conditional “we’ll match donations” money — not the same as the standard cash grant next to it. Never add ‡ to cash.

Glossary: /reports/create-the-beast/?p=index · Lightcone face detail: /reports/create-the-beast/?p=lightcone-face

BLUF

  1. Matching Pledges are new in SFF-2025. Conditional; ‡ ≠ cash.
  2. Lightcone ‡ WIRED — report $650,000‡ (all-recommendations compact + Habryka’s $2.6M × 0.25x reading). Footnote: the Matching table still shows $500k‡ — unexplained conflict. Habryka thermometer $2,621,555 — Fundraiser over; after FTX-style garnish (~12.5%) remittance ≈ $325k. Deadline was 2026-03-31.
  3. METR $428k‡ still OPEN until 2026-09-30. Net standard cash after speculation line = $0.
  4. AI Futures $500k‡ NOT DRAWN — deadline 2026-06-30 passed; no public match campaign found.
  5. Encode / AIPI have no ‡ on SFF-2025 (cash only).

Selected verdicts

Row Cash Verdict
Lightcone SFF-2025 $661k net $650k‡ (report); $500k table conflict ‡ WIRED; cash WIRED
METR SFF-2025 $0 net std $428k‡ @ 1x ‡ OPEN to 2026-09-30
AI Futures SFF-2025 $1.535M face $500k‡ ‡ NOT DRAWN
Encode AI Corp $516k none no ‡
AIPI via Hack $1.635M none no ‡

WIRED = match campaign looks completed. NOT DRAWN = window closed without public evidence of collection. OPEN = deadline still ahead.